NFL aging curves by position, rookie QBs, third-year WRs, and age 30 RBs
They say age ain't nothing but a number.
Twenty-one, twenty-six, thirty-one--what's the significance? Is age
merely just a number, or a baseline for seasonal performance? How can
we quantify this?
Aging curves--also called aging patterns or age factors--show the
relative performance of a group of players for each age, usually either
showing how much (in percentage terms) a statistic improves or declines
from one age to the next, or how the production at any age compares to
the peak age.
One method used for aging curves is to simply add up the stats for
every player at each age and look at the resulting sums. This is
flawed, however; it doesn't account for the fact that there are many
more players at age 24 than at age 34--the difference in yards or
touchdowns per attempt won't offset the disparity in attempts.
You can solve this problem by dividing the sum by the number of players
at that age, right? Well, technically, yes, but it's...













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